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I'm flying out today to Las Vegas. I'd say I'm going with the mindset of pragmatic confidence. Anyone going there thinking they're going to burst the place up is just being unrealistic.
I was listening to a 2p2 podcast interview recently with George 'Jorj95' Lind. Lind who won the SCOOP player of the series recently went 37 events at the 2009 WSOP without cashing. This may seem like an awful run for a top player but it's not really when you consider the field sizes.
A few years ago, I used to play a lot of six man STTs online. I was a decent winner in them and played a near to perfect strategy. Once I hit a streak of 33 games without a cash.
If I was to say I'm going to Vegas with the intention of making a final table or to win a certain amount of money over the seven or so tournaments I will play, it would just be foolish.
So what are my expectations for the trip? Well, I'm going to play between 6-8 WSOP events with the lowest field being around 2000 runners. If I played seven, I think I'd be slightly odds on to get a cash, maybe 5/6 or 4/5.
I think the main event is my best shot. It's a unique tournament with an unbelievable structure. I feel my skill set will suit this tournament perfectly. I learned a lot about this event last year when I went out on day five in 350th. With half-decent table draws, I'd probably make myself around 11/2 to hit the money again.
This will be my third trip to Vegas for the series and what ever happens I'll enjoy the whole experience. I started playing NLH five years ago in small pub games and feel very lucky to have progressed to play at the level I do. For me it doesn't get any bigger then the WSOP, I'm relishing the challenge of the next few weeks and just hoping the poker gods might take a shine to me. Please, wish me luck!
Comments (1)
Good luck Nicky - I'll be following your progress each day.
Just need to win a few coin tosses and you'll be a November 9er. By the way if you get short of cash I recommend the 1-2 NL cash at Hooters Poker Room - crazy action and you could make a good living there !!