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Things are going shite over here. I'm out of the main and doing my testicles in online cash. To be honest, I'm not playing well at all but this is also coupled with not being dealt the best hand.
As a result of this, I'm doing $20kish already this week. It's time to formulate an escape plan and I've decided to leave poker out of these plans. So I'm looking at two rugby matches to help me out!
Match 1: Ireland v South Africa
I'm going to go for an Ireland win in this weekend's match with a bet of between 1-10 or 1-12 points.
It's been a long year for SA, with the bulk of their players involved in the Bulls successful Super 14 campaign, the Lion tours and finally the Tri-Nations. A lot of their players seem to be carrying niggles and they have had a rather unsuccessful tour so far, with just 1 win against Italy.
The general consensus is that the senior players should have been left at home to rest. Ireland will have benefited greatly from there last two games and should be less rusty. The worry for me is the Irish set-pieces. We will be taking the worst of it in the scrum and line-out but if Ireland can get enough ball to attack out wide, where the SA's are weak, then we may just sneak it. There's a small worry about Sexton at 10 but to be fair, in the last three high pressure occasions (Munster, Leicester, Fiji) - he has shone each time.
Match 2: France v New Zealand
Again, I'm going to go for the northern hemisphere side. I've been pretty unimpressed with New Zealand in all of their tour games so far. They struggled past Wales and England; while there second string team was less than impressive against Italy. France were top class last time out against SA and despite starting slow as well as shipping a 10 point advantage, they came back to win. The French have a great scrum coupled with a good line-out, which they used to maul the SA's off the park.
France also know exactly how to beat NZ as well. My worry for the French is that they have a weak out-half, which if they lose will probably be the reason. Other worries are Traille at full-back. Oh yeah, another risk with the French is that they may just decide not to turn up. All in all I'd probably have France slight fav's, so anything better than evens has to be a bet.
Sure if all else fails, I'll try win an ECOOP to get out.
Comments (1)
get pissed then get laid over there for 100